News

Posted To: MBS Commentary

By today, it became clear that bonds were fully locked into a sideways consolidation in a range defined by the highs seen on Wed/Thu and the lows marked by the 3.06% technical levels. Of the past 3 sideways days, today was the least volatile and most l [...]
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Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates actually fell today, on average--something they haven't been able to say all week, or indeed at nearly any time during the past 4 weeks. Yesterday, in particular, was the worst day for rates since 2011 for most lenders, with anything les [...]
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Posted To: MND NewsWire

Even as flood water continue to sit in living rooms and kitchens across a large swath of North Carolina it is clear that most of those homes are not insured against the damage. Mary Williams Walsh, writing in the New York Times, says that in North Carolina and South Ca [...]
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Posted To: MBS Commentary

More often than not, when I use the word "believe" (or belief), it's in some vague and positive context. For instance, something like "bond buyers are starting to believe again." That won't be the case today--at least not as [...]
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Posted To: Pipeline Press

When I spent an hour interviewing Angelo Mozilo on stage last week for the American Pacific Mortgage Summit, one of the issues we discussed was the competitive environment for lenders, and the evolution of the mortgage loan originator. A [...]
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Posted To: MBS Commentary

After a series of demoralizing losses, it feels like some small victory for bonds to simply remain sideways today. That wasn't necessarily a given early this morning. In fact, yields hit new intraday highs for the week--the highest levels since May [...]
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Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates were mostly able to hold steady today, although they technically moved just a bit higher and that technically leaves them at the highest levels in 7 years. But hey! Let's focus on the positives... In terms of day-over-day changes, today [...]
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As more supply comes onto the U.S. housing market, and mortgage rates rise, affordability is hitting a wall. That has more sellers lowering prices. 

Source: https://www.cnbc.com...

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Posted To: MND NewsWire

It was a disappointment, but at least it wasn't a loss. Existing home sales, which were expected to increase in August after four straight months of declines instead remained unchanged from July. In fact, almost the entire report on August's existing home sales can be [...]
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Posted To: Pipeline Press

This Saturday is the autumn equinox – season-wise, we know what is on the way. “Rob, we, like everyone else, are watching the approaching winter, and higher rates, and wondering if there are ways to improve our financial pict [...]
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Posted To: MBS Commentary

One of the themes we often revisit in times of trouble is the long-term bull market in bonds. This traces back to the 80's and provides a shockingly linear set of lower highs and lower lows in 10yr yields. Most recently, we've seen yields rise [...]
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Posted To: MND NewsWire

The share of loans originated for refinancing rose in August for the first time this year. Ellie Mae's Origination Insight Report shows that closed transactions for refinancing represented 32 percent of the total, up 3 percentage points from July. The 3-point increase [...]
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Posted To: MBS Commentary

The titular question could be taken two ways . Is the selling pressure in bonds over? Is the "low rate environment" that's been in effect since mid-2011 over? The answers, in order are "probably not" and "for now." To [...]
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Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates are in bad shape . At some point in the past 3 days (depends on the lender), top tier 30yr fixed rate offerings hit their highest level in 5 years, then 7 years. For the first time since 2011, the most prevalent top tier rate is 4.875% ( [...]
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No, you should not use that home equity line of credit to fund your vacation to Bermuda. You also shouldn't use it to pay for the utilities. 

Source: https://www.cnbc.com...

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Posted To: MND NewsWire

Both permits and starts were expected to pick up in August, at least holding on to their slight gains in July. Housing starts did deliver, posting a strong increase, but permits, a leading indicator, were down sharply. The U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing a [...]
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Posted To: Pipeline Press

I received this question from a well-known lender in Texas. “Rob, our company views loan processors as the unsung heroes of lending. We’re evaluating how ours are paid. Any thoughts?” The STRATMOR Group does quite an in [...]
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Posted To: MND NewsWire

Labor Day typically marks the end of summer and the resumption of business as usual. Hopefully it also marked the beginning of a turnaround for mortgage applications, which increased across the board for the first time since mid-June. The Mortgage Bankers Association ( [...]
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Total mortgage application volume increased 1.6 percent last week compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted report.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com...

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Posted To: MBS Commentary

Remember early 2018 when the fear was compounded by this list of bad actors? increased Treasury issuance to pay for the revenue shortfall in the new tax bill the upside economic/inflation potential created by the new tax bill A Federal Reserve that was [...]
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