MBS Day Ahead: One Day Closer to Another Trade War Escalation

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Posted To: MBS Commentary

In the day just past, bond markets put in their first losing session after 3 straight business days moving in a friendlier direction. Chalk that up to a dearth of new and threatening trade-related headlines, which seem to be this week's preeminent market mover. In the day ahead there's no reason to expect that theme to change. Indeed, the overnight session saw fresh headlines right out of the gate with Trump saying China "broke the deal. They can't do that. So they'll be paying," at a campaign rally in Florida. European markets took the ball and ran with it at the open. Italian credit spreads have been adding to broader bond market gains as well. Risk-off momentum may have gotten another boost from reports that North Korea fired a projectile of some sort just before...(read more)

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